17 septembre 2018 9

I’m looking for people to rewrite texts in English…

Rédigé par jp-chevallier dans la rubrique English, Etats-Unis

I’m looking for native English speakers (United States, Canada or United Kingdom) to reformulate texts already written in English but obtained from machine translation. This involves rewriting these texts in English from articles originally written in French on topics related to economics, finance and monetarism such as those published on this site in order to [...]

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3 septembre 2018 4

Normal rate structure

Rédigé par jp-chevallier dans la rubrique English, Etats-Unis, Monétarisme

After the long period of disinflation during the 1980s and 1990s and during this crisis in the euro area, what should be the normal structure of rates? The answer is simple… When Alan Greenspan chaired the Fed, he considered that inflation should fluctuate in a range of 1.0% to 1.5%, he reached this goal in [...]

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29 août 2018 19

The 10-2 year yield spread, €-crash, and US recession.

Rédigé par jp-chevallier dans la rubrique English, Etats-Unis, Europe, Monétarisme

The 10-2 year Yield spread curve (which gives a good idea of the evolution of the steepening of the yield curve) has been declining inexorably since the beginning of 2011, and it is now close to zero after crossing all the resistance lines. Document 1: For some forty years, the causes of recessions have always [...]

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25 février 2018 0

Yield Spread, technical analysis and € -crash

Rédigé par jp-chevallier dans la rubrique English, Etats-Unis, Europe

The curve representing the difference between the yields of 10-year Notes and those of 2-year Notes reveals in technical analysis in February a very beautiful head on his shoulders with a well-drawn choker, Document 1: A zoom out shows that the fake news from nomenklatura of the euro-zone delay the long and heavy trend of [...]

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24 janvier 2018 13

2018 €-crisis, 2020 US recession!

Rédigé par jp-chevallier dans la rubrique English, Etats-Unis, Europe, Monétarisme

The crisis that began to be visible in statistics in the euro area since 2011 is worsening and a violent crash will occur in 2018. It will cause a recession in the United States in late 2019 and 2020. Several concordant indicators justify these predictions … The evolution of the curve representing the difference between [...]

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29 mai 2017 3

Free money supply and growth

Rédigé par jp-chevallier dans la rubrique English, Etats-Unis, masse monétaire libre

The relationship between changes in the money supply and growth has been a very important subject for a decade. A concrete example from well-known economic theories allows us to understand them… As soon as the Böhm-Bawerk’s peasant sells his harvest on the market in neighboring town, he buys a plow (to increase his production, productivity [...]

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22 novembre 2013 12

Systemically Important Financial Institutions real leverage

Rédigé par jp-chevallier dans la rubrique Banques, English, Leverage

Like all companies, banks finance their assets by equity and liabilities. Alan Grenspan enacted in the 80’s Tier 1 ratio Rule for the banking system: the amount of capital must be greater than 8% of the total debt, its inverse is the leverage to be less than 12.5. After the financial turmoil he increased this [...]

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26 février 2013 9

Systemically Important Financial Institutions real leverage

Rédigé par jp-chevallier dans la rubrique Banques, English

Like all companies, banks finance their assets by equity and debt. Alan Grenspan enacted in the 80s Tier 1 ratio Rule for the banking system: the amount of capital must be greater than 8% of the total debt, its inverse is the leverage to be less than 12.5. After the financial turmoil he increased this [...]

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3 octobre 2012 15

Free money supply and growth

Rédigé par jp-chevallier dans la rubrique English, masse monétaire libre

Changes in real GDP are inversely proportional to those of the free money supply M2-M1 which is the difference between the change in the monetary aggregate M2-M1 and (minus) real GDP growth (year on year %). In other words, the variations of the free money supply are driving: the increase in free money supply M2-M1 [...]

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14 septembre 2011 2

Two banks in the euro area are in default of payment in dollars

Rédigé par jp-chevallier dans la rubrique English

Today Wednesday, September 14, two banks in the euro area are in default of payment in dollars: they ask $575 million, Click here to read this release on ECB website.

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